[GJM] Two more programmes
Steve Consilvio
steve at behappyandfree.com
Sat Jan 5 16:51:26 MST 2008
On SaturdayJan 5, 2008, at 2:00 PM, discussion-
request at globaljusticemovement.net wrote:
> On The Agenda Moeen Yaseen (Globalvision2000) and I forcibly put
> the case that there is going to be a slump.
Rodney,
How can you say "there is going to be a slump," isn't already here?
Or at least started?
Anyway, predicting bad things is as easy as predicting good things.
There are deaths and births every day.
How about a more serious question: WHY do these cycles of boom and
bust occur?
Observing them and predicting them is easy. That is what
stockbrokers and day-traders do every day for specific companies.
Doing it for a macro economy is even easier, since one can
selectively choose the facts that fit their prediction. If you
predict a sunrise or a sunset you will eventually be correct,
regardless of the current time.
What I would like to ask of you and Robert Searle (and any one else
who wants to chime in) is why these fluctuations occur at all? The
sun rises and sets every day. We plant in the spring and harvest in
the fall. There should be a similarly natural rhythm to explain the
cause of financial droughts and windfalls, as a mathematical
phenomenon. Our numbers are man-made afterall. If we plant, then
why is there no harvest? Shouldn't a manufacturing-industrial
economy be easier to maintain at a steady rate? (Call it sustainable
growth or sustainable consumption, either way there are no wild
fluctuations.)
Let us assume that you are correct. The slump is "real." WHY is
there a slump? WHAT is causing it, again? We can't fix it if we
can't explain it.
Thanks,
Peace,
Steve Consilvio
www.behappyandfree.com
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