[GJM] #858, Clement Clarke, Mary Rose, Lurban Kohler, And John Hermann on Solving Inflation
wesburt at juno.com
wesburt at juno.com
Sun Feb 24 12:35:33 MST 2008
Dear Old Friends And Other Members Of The Thirteenth Tribe,
I am pleased to see four old friends get serious about
"solving inflation. " My obsession with inflation began
with a profile of the US Consumer Price Index published
in the October 1966 issue of FORTUNE Magazine, and
has continued unabated to date. In the four following
messages: Mr. Clarke agrees with the late Milton
Friedman that inflation is the result of excess money.
Mary Rose proposes barter as an alternative to money
which is losing value. Mr. Kohler believes a little
inflation is to be expected and not as important as
spending the money we have on doing the right thing.
Mr. Hermann agrees with Martin Hattersley, Q.C. from
Canada, that money in an economy acts like the fluid
in the automatic transmission of an automobile,
except that this economic transmission has millions
of flow paths which may restrict and skew the
distribution of flow among the multitude of paths.
The mechanism of skewed money flow is "so simple it
repels the mind," as J. K. Galbraith said of how banks
create money. Say's Law may still hold for each sector
of an economy, but be violated in parts of a sector by
the skewed flow among the parts of a sector. Invariably,
skewed money imposes a shortage of money on the
MANY and an abundance of money on the FEW. So read
the following four messages with an eye to answering
the basic question: How could the FEW keep such a
simple mechanism out of the public mind? Recall that
the systemic defect which skews the flow of money in
any one of the three sectors of an economy has not
been mentioned or documented since King Rehoboam
(I Kings 12) promulgated the "Divine Right Of Kings"
in B.C. 975.
Below the four messages, please find a five year old
letter which Dr. W. Curtiss Priest had posted on his
web site before he was persuaded by the FEW to
abandon the site and solve inflation by means of
a 28th Amendment to the US Constitution.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ One Of Four ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
From: Clement Clarke
Date: 2/18/2008 6:56:14 PM
To: ERANet at yahoogroups.com; A renewed Mai-Not;
FixGov at yahoogroups.com
Subject: [FixGov] Solving Inflation
If Inflation is caused by too much money, then surely
the cure is to reduce the amount of it?
Clement Clarke
PS: Of course the banks would squeal as they are
only interested in creating lots of it, and charging
interest on what they make from thin air.
~~~~~~~~~~~ End Clement Clarke ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Two Of Four ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
mary_rose at aabol.com>
To: <Cyber-Soc at topica.com>,
<FixGov at yahoogroups.com>
Date: Tue, 19 Feb 2008 02:31:06 -0800 (Pacific Standard Time)
Subject: Fw: [FixGov] Solving Inflation
Good thoughts, Clement. Let's do reciprocity
and pay it forward, while creating barter and
trade agreements to replace the money that
is becoming more worthless every day.
Do we really need it?
Keep up the good work.
mary rose
~~~~~~~~~~~ End mary rose ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Three Of Four ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
From: lurban kohler lurbankohler at yahoo.com
To: FixGov at yahoogroups.com
Date: Tue, 19 Feb 2008 22:27:36 -0800 (PST)
Subject: Re: [FixGov] Solving Inflation
Urban: Inflation may be a problem in some ways, but it
doesn't seem all that important. Everyone expects a
moderate amount of it, and it does tend to diminish
the value of large accumulations of money, which might
be a good thing . . .
But I think what is REALLY important is when money is
created as debt, (or non-debt) what is done with it
--where it is infused into the economy. If instead of
literally billions a day being infused into the
economy through the industries of domination and
terror (while we are told there isn't any money for
health, education & infrastructure repair etc.) --if
those same billions were spent but NOT on blowing up
things and beating up people, wouldn't this be a much
different world???
We need money to be created and spent into the
economy. If instead of spending it on instruments of
fear and greed, we were spending it on nurturing, on
art, on sustaining the natural environment &
empowering all of our people, on raising consciousness
. . . . what a dream world!!
>
I read somewhere today if twelve tribes lived
peacefully and cooperatively and a thirteenth was
belligerent competitive and greedy, the first twelve
would have to become like the thirteenth in order to
survive. In light of that its a wonder humanity has
survived this long.
~~~~~~~~~~~ End lurban kohler ~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Four Of Four ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
From: "John Hermann" hermann at picknowl.com.au
To: ERANet at yahoogroups.com
Date: Wed, 20 Feb 2008 08:43:30 +1030
Subject: Re: [ERANet] Solving Inflation
Where did you get the idea that inflation is
generally caused by "too much money" Clem?
As I view the situation, we have too little money
for transaction purposes. The problem in my
view is the maldistribution, or skewed nature,
of money available to the investment sector
compared with money that is needed for
everything else. One solution would be to
implement a 100% reserve monetary system
(as proposed by William Hummel for example),
supplemented by the abolition of interest-bearing
deposits and the provision instead of government
infrastructure bonds - which would provide risk-free
(or very low risk) returns on invested money.
The latter being necessary in order to keep
the superannuation, pension and mutual fund
managers happy.
Regards,
John H
~~~~~~~~~~~ End John Hermann ~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~ A Five Year Old Letter ~~~~~~~~~~~
To: My few friends lurking on my copy list.
Hi folks,
My post of Thu, 24 Apr 2003, and the four which
followed, have been completely stonewalled by
my readers. None of my favorite interlocutors,
W. Curtiss Priest, Charley Musselman, ichinen1,
nor Todd Boyle returned a comment. Perhaps, if
I had revised my 24 April reply to Curtiss as follows,
a serious discussion of "The Optimum Policy"
might have started.
~~~~~~~~~~ Snip redundant text ~~~~~~~~~
Because the US economy presently dominates the
global economy, any systemic defect in US public
policy which unbalances the flow of money or goods
across US boundaries cannot be corrected or
compensated for by the combined policies of other
nations in the global economy. To the contrary, if
the US economy is properly balanced by applying
"The Optimum Policy" to the public sector, as
consistently as it has been applied to the private
sector during the 20th century, every other nation's
WHIPs (their wealthy, healthy, intelligent, and
powerful folks) will find their own advantage in
applying "The Optimum Policy" to their own
economy. Do Afghanistan and Iraq deserve any less?
"The Optimum Policy" has been a matter of standard
operating practice (SOP) for our capital intensive
industries since a founder of the AEA, Henry Carter
Adams devoted 15 pages of his 1887 paper, "Relation
Of The State To Industrial Action," to describing three
classes of industry; those with increasing returns to
scale, those with constant returns to scale, and those
with decreasing returns to scale.
Adams concluded that only industries with decreasing
returns could be properly regulated by the competitive
action of a free market, or automated by that form of
computer control which simulated a free market pricing
mechanism.
The reason why was as well understood by Paul A.
Samuelson and electrical engineers in 1953 as by H. C.
Adams in 1887. Both increasing returns and constant
returns provide excessive gain in a closed loop regulating
system and form a hysteresis loop which shifts violently
between two physical states. So free market or automatic
control of production requires each productive asset to
exhibit decreasing returns to scale in order to achieve
stable and efficient operation of a population of such assets.
Sooner or later, the many diverse critics of the status quo
on my copy list will have to find common ground and
speak as one voice, if they expect to prevail over the
DDotSQ ( Devious Defenders of the Status Quo). My work
experience and research since 1969 indicates only two
places in our history and literature where that common
ground has been documented.
One place is in the Pentateuch, or Five Books of Moses,
which anticipated all of the diverse religious teachings
that presently divide and conquer humanity. But Curtiss
Priest, quite rightly, fears that I'll be taken for a religious
fanatic if I continue to advocate that source of common
ground. So let's move on.
The second place for finding this common ground is
in the fact that both the public sector and the private
sector of every national economy are composed of
reproducible productive assets, human and capital.
Both types of assets require a sustained investment
during their development period to realize their full
potential during their productive period. The extent
to which those two development expenses are
"capitalized," and thereby assure "decreasing returns
to scale" for either type of asset, is the primary
determinant of stability and efficiency among nations,
corporations, and households.
Visual-aids to bring that concept into sharp focus
are provided by attached Fig4 & 8i.gif. Fig4 serves
to integrate the data presented on the supporting
charts which have been so bravely posted to the
URL in the signature below, but not yet discussed
seriously, by my mentor and favorite contemporary
economist, W. Curtiss Priest.
As you all know, the medium of exchange in any
national economy flows through three closed loops,
the GDP loop presently at $10 Trillion/year in US,
the business to business transactions loop at 150%
of GDP, and the speculative transactions loop at more
than an order of magnitude larger than the GDP.
As shown in Fig 2-3 at the web site, the US medium
of exchange (M1) expanded from $250 Billion in 1965
to $1,200 billion in 1994 and has remained at that level
to date, while the other debt instruments continued
their upward trends. This indicates a remarkable
improvement in the speed of payments by electronic
means throughout the global economy. Fig4, however,
tell us nothing about growth, stability, or efficiency
in a family farm, a corporation, an industry, a national
economy, or a global economy.
After we digest and reject all of the red herrings that
are every day promulgated to the public on money,
interest, taxes, banks, and globalization; there remains
only ONE significant systemic requirement for social
development such as Germany and Japan exhibited
in the three decades after World War II. That ONE is
an adequate capitalization of the development expense
of both capital and human assets, sufficient to bring
both types of assets to market with "decreasing returns
to scale." That is to say, without pricing young and
startup assets out of the market.
Fig8 shows the $6,500/year expense of 1-12 education,
which is adequately capitalized in the US, on the left
side of the horizontal (Value added or consumed) scale.
The $5,000/year expense of supporting dependent
children and students, which is not adequately
capitalized in the US, is shown by the dependent
(1-6) lines on the right side of the chart where this
uncapitalized expense diminishes the purchasing
power of each parenting household in the work force
by $5,000/year per dependent.
This is a total expense similar to the US DOD budget,
which is charged per dependent, to US households.
For more than a century, the US business community
has kept its employees and the public ignorant of
this ONE systemic requirement for a growing, stable,
and efficient national economy.
To cure what has ailed the US economy since the
1890s, we have three options, but are discussing
only two of them:
1, Tax cuts, as proposed by Congress and President
Bush, which will produce future budget deficits, but
do not address the systemic defect in US public policy.
2, A Keynesian expansion of the M1 money supply,
as proposed by subscribers to list Post Keynesian
Thought (PKT), which also does not address the
systemic defect in US public policy.
3, Adequately capitalize the remaining fixed costs
that presently dominate the budget of US parenting
families, which will restore a rising trend in the value
of the dollar, such as Americans enjoyed, except
during time of war, prior to the 1890s.
As Fig4 shows us, our human assets operate in
tandem with our capital assets, so a maximum flow
of real goods and services cannot be realized by
optimizing only our capital plant, if our human
assets are under capitalized and thereby burdened
with sunk and unavoidable fixed costs as shown by
the dependent lines (1 to 6) in Fig8.
What can be more fundamental than doing justice to
those who must depend on others for justice.
Kind regards,
Wes Burt
The Optimum Policy (TOP) is shown on Dr. W. Curtiss Priest's
web site at: http://www.epie.org/cyber-soc/default.htm
If you can't refute it, then make it public knowledge.
~~~~~~~~~~ End five year old post ~~~~~~~~~~
TOP and TWP are cognoscible by sixth graders from
Fig. 7-9.gif on Dr. W. Curtiss Priest's web site:
<http://www.epie.org/cyber-soc/default.htm>
TOP = 100% Capitalism --- TWP = 0 to 50% Capitalism
__,_._,___
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